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[7:05 p.m. EST] New York Mets (ML: -115) at Pittsburgh Pirates
NYM: Steven Matz – L (6-6, 4.32 ERA/1.38 WHIP)
PIT: Trevor Williams – R (3-4, 4.87 ERA/1.32 WHIP)
The SpreadKnowledge MLB Free Pick of the Day comes to us in the form of the Mets, who have won seven straight games. They’ll be facing a Pirates team they just swept last weekend, so we’re looking for them to continue on that successful path.
Steven Matz has been simply magnificent since the All-Star break, allowing only a 0.95 WHIP and four runs over 19 innings of work. One of those great outings came against this same Pirates team in his last outing, as it only took him 99 pitches to throw a complete-game shutout. During this seven-game winning streak, the Mets team has allowed three runs or fewer in six of those contests.
The Pirates have been terrible against left-handed pitching over the last 21 days, posting awful .242 weighted on-base average, .102 ISO (power metric) and 24% K-rate numbers.
Trevor Williams didn’t pitch bad at all in that last meeting against the Mets, but it was two homers that eventually did him in. It’s worth noting, though, those longballs have certainly given him trouble over the last few outings – Williams has now allowed 12 homers over his last six starts.
Since July 4, the Pirates have a dreadful 5-18 record and they’re losing games in just about every way imaginable. The Mets come into this game with everything clicking, from the offense to the pitching. Look for these trends to continue and the Mets to be victorious at the end of the night.
* Final Score Prediction * New York Mets: 4 – Pittsburgh Pirates: 3